03-02 Threats

(blank) » John Bulloch » 13 Russia » 03 The Resurgence » 03-02 Threats

If Russia was successful in helping Trump win the 2016 Presidential election, then we can certainly see Russia as a threat. Certainly, their success in using cyberhacking as a political tool makes them some sort of a threat.
But the more pressing issue is whether Trump has been compromised to the point he is acting more like a Russian asset than a US patriot. Indeed, a lot of his colleagues look like assets.
It is my opinion that President Trump is not competent enough to function as a Russian asset. He lies so blatantly that he lacks subtlety. He is too obvious and too inconsistent.
What he really represents is American isolationism, something that seems to raise its ugly head every ten years or so. But isolationism is something that does work to the benefit of Putin and mother Russia. Like turning Syria over to Russia.
Certainly Putin is doing a good job of projecting himself as a powerful leader with a growing military machine. The photo shows Putin with nuclear bombers.
And the fact that Canada is leading a NATO battle group in Latvia shows that Russia is seen as a threat to the former Soviet Republics of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia. And NATO also has troops in Poland.
I do not see Russia as a global threat, partly because when I visited Russia and some of the Soviet republics in 1987, I was able to form some solid opinions. That Russia, for example, looks stronger than it really is.

A nation of two economies, one military-industrial which is strong, and another domestic, which is weak.

The first thing I recognized was the nature of its geography. A monster nation surrounded by other nations, such as Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Belarus, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Mongolia and China and more.
No natural protection like oceans or mountains. They protect themselves instead by either controlling or influencing their buffer nations. Part of this control is the threat posed by the Russian military, which they like to parade.
And an even more powerful political tool has been the transferring of Russians into the various republics. There were times, for example, when the Russian population of the Baltic states was as high as 30 per cent in the major cities.
To Russia, it was only quasi-threatening when former satellite nations like Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic became part of NATO. But when the Baltic states, which were former Soviet Republics, became part of NATO Russia felt threatened.
And now that the Ukraine is asking for NATO membership, an invasion of the Ukraine by Russia is a serious threat. NATO would be smart to not accept Ukraine for membership. The Ukraine is Russia’s pipeline corridor to the West.
Over twenty years of my life was spent in the public arena, and I have learned to believe only half of what I read or watch or listen to. How much of a threat is Russia? I would say about half of what you think it is.